Definite-Lye
0xac626defe4d02b64c602c07442fce3e1618ac1a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-65.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
1200 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Trump out as President by March 31?
1071 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
1006 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
385 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
357 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
123 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 10?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Mar 11, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$1.00Mar 11, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$1.20Mar 11, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.00Mar 11, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 10?$2.00Mar 10, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.00Mar 10, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$1.00Mar 10, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$0.00Mar 10, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$0.00Mar 10, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$1.00Mar 10, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$2.00Mar 10, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$1.00Mar 10, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$1.00Mar 10, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.00Mar 10, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.00Mar 10, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.00Mar 10, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.00Mar 10, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.00Mar 10, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$1.00Mar 10, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$3.22Mar 10, 08:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $3.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 07:32 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 20:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".