Trusting-Head
0xac6761525b6cae629e6b3742e27d707a17cb0e0b
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-78.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
1500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
1250 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on April 2?
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
668 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
625 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
553 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.99
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
382 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
16 shares @ 18.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on April 2?$1.00Apr 3, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$5.00Mar 30, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$1.00Mar 30, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$5.00Mar 30, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$3.00Mar 26, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$10.00Mar 26, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$5.00Mar 26, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$20.00Mar 26, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$15.00Mar 26, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?$9.00Mar 26, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$5.00Mar 26, 03:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $7.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 03:13 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 3, 05:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.