Specific-Observation
0xac6ca1f685084b6dce00fb8e4ac41bf955d885fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$11.44
Total PnL
$-9.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 24?
104 shares @ 4.8¢·now 4.2¢·exp May 24, 2026$4.32
$-0.68
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 26?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 26?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.78
$-0.22
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 26?
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.68
$-1.32
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 25?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.63
$-0.37
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 23?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.55
$-0.45
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 26?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.38
$-0.62
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 23?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.31
$-0.69
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 21?$0.00May 21, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 21?$1.06May 21, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?$1.05May 21, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 23?$1.06May 21, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 23?$1.06May 21, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 23?$1.06May 21, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 26?$1.06May 21, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?$1.07May 21, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 25?$1.05May 21, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 26?$1.05May 20, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 26?$1.05May 20, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 24?$5.00May 20, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 26?$2.12May 20, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 22?$1.05May 20, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 22?$2.10May 20, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 21?$2.10May 20, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?$1.00May 20, 12:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $1.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 12:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 10:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".