Jam-Packed-Caviar
0xac743038d1ba531786efdce2e40216db19cad131
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be between 43.5% and 43.9% on September 26?$30.49Sep 27, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Friday?$0.00Sep 24, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 44.0% and 44.4% on September 26?$10.57Sep 24, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 43.5% and 43.9% on September 26?$10.00Sep 24, 10:28 UTC
- REDEEMSaudi Arabia non-oil GDP % up in Q3?$0.00Aug 8, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Friday?$4.31Aug 8, 15:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill crude oil hit $100 in 2023?$1.60Nov 14, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaudi Arabia non-oil GDP % up in Q3?$10.00Oct 24, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill crude oil hit $100 in 2023?$6.60Oct 21, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday?$24.28Oct 19, 10:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill X start charging all users?$0.49Oct 18, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday?$10.00Oct 17, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday?$5.00Oct 17, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be a US government shutdown by October 2?$77.78Oct 4, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a US government shutdown by October 2?$10.00Sep 28, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill X start charging all users?$1.00Sep 26, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMETH above $1,600 on Sep 22?$64.52Sep 26, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a US government shutdown by October 2?$15.00Sep 19, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYETH above $1,600 on Sep 22?$20.00Sep 18, 17:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
3/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $9.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 18, 17:35 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 27, 17:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.