Bony-Coevolution
0xac7a4442098eaabc4dbe26fabfdddc9961648a99
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-528.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
331 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-9.60
- YES
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-21?
203 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-28.19
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on September 21?
200 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-54.00
- NO
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
100 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-13.40
- YES
Will Barcelona vs. Getafe end in a draw?
100 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-21?
100 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-57.00
- NO
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?
60 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-28.20
- YES
Will Hadi Choopan win Mr. Olympia 2025?
56 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-12.80
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on September 22?
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
45 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-11.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$11.53Jun 15, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELL World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?$5.55Jun 15, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?$2.70Jun 15, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$2.56Jun 15, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$32.19Jun 14, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$10.16Jun 13, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$20.19Jun 13, 22:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$21.28Jun 12, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$2.04Jun 12, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?$8.00Jun 12, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUY World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?$5.12Jun 12, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$10.16Jun 12, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$0.00May 17, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$5.24May 17, 22:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$8.47May 17, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$5.14May 17, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$20.00May 17, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?$0.78Jan 3, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?$0.22Jan 3, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?$4.37Jan 3, 19:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $7.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 26, 16:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 23:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.