Voluminous-Speech
0xac7aee874dad8af4e1fc9e0267a7cc95edef29c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$320.00
Total PnL
$-9.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?
200 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$200.00
$0.40
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
120 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$120.00
$0.24
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Elon out of Trump administration before July?
10 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-7.75
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?$22.40Feb 21, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people?$19.92Feb 21, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 19?$100.00Feb 20, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$20.00Feb 19, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 19?$99.90Feb 18, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?$677.78Feb 18, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?$40.61Feb 18, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?$20.30Feb 18, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?$179.69Feb 18, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?$232.10Feb 18, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?$232.10Feb 18, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?$3.00Feb 18, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?$537.44Feb 18, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?$537.44Feb 18, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?$78.23Feb 18, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?$730.54Feb 18, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?$808.78Feb 18, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?$1.46Feb 18, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?$8.12Feb 18, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?$2.03Feb 18, 17:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $191.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 16:32 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 21, 14:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.