Embellished-Hook
0xac83b8c8b748aedb39089b28a60e97a53e579c94
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
95
Open notional
$1.42
Total PnL
$-158.17
Realised
$-30.07
Win rate
3%
78 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 95- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?
2 shares @ 79.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$1.42
$-0.53
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
185 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
185 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
62 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
62 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
31 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3AM ET
31 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-8.39
- YES
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.06
- UP
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
11 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?
6 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.93
Recent activity
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - August 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$0.89Aug 15, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$2.00Aug 15, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier$0.28Aug 15, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$5.50Aug 15, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$5.39Aug 15, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$2.00Aug 15, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$2.00Aug 15, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$2.00Aug 15, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$2.73Aug 15, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$2.00Aug 15, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$1.99Aug 15, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$2.42Aug 14, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$2.01Aug 14, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$2.05Aug 14, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$2.00Aug 14, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$1.99Aug 14, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$1.99Aug 14, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMBrownsburg: Gauthier Onclin vs Tyler Zink$2.60Aug 13, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMCincinnati Open, Qualification: Rebecca Sramkova vs Elsa Jacquemot$2.31Aug 12, 23:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$2.36Aug 12, 09:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 78 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
78 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 10, 08:33 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 06:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 78 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.