Wiry-Thief
0xac89b4935b801f2d3db0dc83f924581a7b4b7096
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$4.23
Total PnL
$-18.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
51 shares @ 1.8¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.44
$0.54
- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
76 shares @ 0.4¢·now 1.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.18
$0.87
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?
51 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$0.45
$0.10
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?
51 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$0.38
$-0.03
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?
51 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$0.35
$0.10
- YES
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
18 shares @ 5.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.19
$-0.74
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?
200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.10
$-0.50
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
51 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.08
$-0.53
- YES
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.03
$-0.13
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
51 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.03
$-0.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $60 on April 8?$1.00Apr 8, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $65 on April 8?$1.00Apr 8, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $105 on April 8?$1.00Apr 8, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,900 on April 8?$1.00Apr 8, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Thierry Mariani win the Paris mayor election?$0.00Mar 21, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.51Mar 20, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?$0.25Mar 20, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?$0.35Mar 20, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.20Mar 20, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?$0.59Mar 20, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?$0.40Mar 20, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?$0.15Mar 20, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?$0.22Mar 20, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.40Mar 20, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$0.90Mar 20, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.61Mar 20, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?$1.01Mar 20, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.30Mar 20, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicole Lee Ethington be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$1.01Mar 20, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thierry Mariani win the Paris mayor election?$1.01Mar 20, 15:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 01:35 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 13:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.