Creamy-Mass
0xac8fd994bbf14a9a96d8fabb1fbd2e2a690e4b65
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
174
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-236.34
Win rate
31%
61 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 174- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10AM ET
381 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-76.73
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
260 shares @ 42.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$0.00
$-111.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
153 shares @ 39.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-61.03
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
122 shares @ 27.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$0.00
$-33.47
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
101 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
95 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$0.00
$-22.48
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 10PM ET
93 shares @ 37.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-34.55
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
70 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-41.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
63 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$1.22Jan 21, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$1.00Jan 21, 01:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 10PM ET$0.35Jan 10, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 10PM ET$0.54Jan 10, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 10PM ET$1.00Jan 10, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$0.24Jan 9, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$1.00Jan 9, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.00Jan 8, 08:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$1.27Jan 7, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$1.00Jan 7, 03:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.04Jan 6, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.17Jan 6, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.00Jan 6, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.00Jan 6, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.00Jan 6, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.00Jan 6, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.00Jan 6, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$1.00Jan 6, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$1.00Jan 6, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$1.42Jan 6, 15:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
63/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
31% win rate over 61 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 22/100.
61 closed markets, 31% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 17:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 21, 01:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 61 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.