Willing-Moody
0xac90f9a6c317693d3b789ddca2df9419b2f889a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.3K
Realised
$-260.40
Win rate
25%
57 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
2143 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-21.43
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
1796 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-76.68
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
1593 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-44.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
1460 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
1433 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
1377 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-41.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
1359 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-56.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
1229 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-36.87
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
1215 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-43.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
1174 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-46.34
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$15.00Jul 4, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$3.57Jul 4, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$6.34Jul 4, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$5.00Jul 4, 08:20 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$15.00Jul 4, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$28.12Jul 4, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$15.00Jul 4, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$20.11Jul 4, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$3.57Jul 4, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$2.35Jul 4, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$9.77Jul 4, 08:14 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$15.00Jul 4, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - July 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$3.31Jul 4, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1.84Jul 4, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - July 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$3.04Jul 4, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$6.50Jul 4, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - July 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$4.98Jul 4, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$5.75Jul 4, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$6.41Jul 4, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$9.79Jul 4, 08:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 57 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
57 closed markets, 25% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $6.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 07:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 08:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 57 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.