Oblong-Airfare
0xac95221fc795c370a2da825058851155ab1382cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$4.36
Total PnL
$-10.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.41
$0.41
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
1 shares @ 91.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 30.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.24
$-0.76
- YES
Will Trump and Elon say "China" 10 or more times during their Feb 18 interview?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jim McGreevey win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?
3 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?$1.00Jan 12, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.00Jan 12, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$1.00Jan 12, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.02Jan 12, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Siversk by November 30?$1.02Jan 12, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.05Jan 12, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Yampil' by November 30?$1.06Jan 12, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown end November 13?$1.08Jan 12, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.09Jan 12, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?$1.27Jan 12, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$1.54Jan 12, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$2.95Jan 12, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Nov 13, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.00Nov 13, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?$1.00Nov 13, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.00Nov 13, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 13, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 13?$1.00Nov 13, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025$1.03Nov 13, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.06Nov 13, 04:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 06:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 12, 06:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".