Fragrant-Date
0xaca01ec1959d04550f17f7e27894c72571d2b391
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
16324 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-174.98
- YES
Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
4169 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2024$0.00
$-290.00
- NO
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?
2250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-180.00
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
2055 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?
820 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-50.02
- YES
Will Trump post 31-35 times this week?
726 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2024$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will Trump post 26-30 times this week?
478 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2024$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will Trump post 21-25 times this week?
351 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2024$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will there be another debate?
257 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-90.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
238 shares @ 57.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-137.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$137.69Sep 18, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$137.69Sep 18, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$100.53Sep 18, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$67.00Sep 18, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$166.09Sep 18, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be another debate?$90.00Sep 15, 05:42 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?$11.46Sep 15, 05:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$27.00Sep 11, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5.00Aug 26, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5.00Aug 26, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?$22.00Aug 24, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$100.00Aug 24, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5.00Aug 14, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post 31-35 times this week?$22.00Aug 14, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post 26-30 times this week?$22.00Aug 14, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post 21-25 times this week?$22.00Aug 14, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post 16-20 times this week?$22.00Aug 14, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$50.00Aug 13, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYTim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?$11.97Aug 10, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYTim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?$0.04Aug 10, 04:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $91.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 03:56 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 18, 17:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".