Crowded-Ancestor
0xaca59f7a5d5aa094e3f040f916c90dd3c8023816
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
54
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-553.22
Realised
$0.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
Bitcoin all time high by March 31?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Dogecoin all time high in April?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
1500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?
1500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times March 28 - April 4?
1000 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500.00 by March 31?
1000 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
No change in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?
771 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2024$0.00
$-10.81
- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?
750 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?
715 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2025$0.00
$-18.70
- YES
WIll another driver win the Qatar Grand Prix?
709 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2024$0.00
$-1.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?$18.90May 31, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?$0.16May 20, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?$0.80May 20, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?$2.00May 20, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?$0.41May 20, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?$1.60May 20, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?$1.43May 20, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another driver win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?$3.58May 20, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another driver win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?$0.10May 20, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another driver win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?$0.32May 20, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another driver win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?$2.00May 20, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 100–124 times May 16–23?$4.51May 20, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 100–124 times May 16–23?$0.89May 20, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Max Verstappen win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?$36.93May 20, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?$5.54May 10, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?$0.00May 10, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?$14.00May 3, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrea Antonelli win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?$0.29Apr 28, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrea Antonelli win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?$0.30Apr 28, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrea Antonelli win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?$0.04Apr 27, 19:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 12:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 16:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".