Poor-Rheumatism
0xaca5f9d9f68a7dfdd190d456fafb0429e634d9c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-54.61
Realised
$5.35
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit?
2020 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.02
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 16, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Khamenei seen in public by March 1?
119 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Hillary's remarks not air?
112 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
GPT ads by March 31?
55 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.06
- YES
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
51 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump and Machado only be photographed together, without a clear handshake?
49 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Khamenei seen in public by March 4?
45 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?
45 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.46
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$2.92Jul 19, 14:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$7.04Jul 19, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$1.60Mar 26, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.58Mar 26, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$0.75Mar 26, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?$0.57Mar 26, 15:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$0.00Mar 23, 16:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$0.00Mar 23, 16:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$0.00Mar 23, 16:53 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$0.01Mar 23, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by March 31?$1.06Mar 22, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$0.00Mar 19, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$0.00Mar 19, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$2.00Mar 19, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$1.00Mar 15, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$2.50Mar 15, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?$2.50Mar 15, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$2.00Mar 15, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$5.00Mar 15, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$5.11Mar 15, 02:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $3.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 12:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 14:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.