Frugal-Vengeance
0xacae3c6efeedd75f2b34564f55356855e8fd6798
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
176
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4M
Realised
$1.9K
Win rate
62%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 176- UTAH STATE AGGIES
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats
1048095 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-133.0K
- KENNESAW STATE OWLS
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs
868871 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-43.4K
- TEXAS A&M AGGIES
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars
572251 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-103.0K
- MAVERICKS
Mavericks vs. Nuggets
476912 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-63.0K
- NORTH CAROLINA STATE WOLFPACK
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhorns
238379 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-126.3K
- TEXAS A&M AGGIES
Spread: Houston Cougars (-10.5)
116964 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-62.0K
- CELTICS
Timberwolves vs. Celtics
112130 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-87.5K
- SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals
111926 shares @ 37.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-41.8K
- MISSOURI TIGERS
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes
98839 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-45.5K
- FURMAN PALADINS
Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskies
97713 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.6K
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$54.82Jul 7, 00:51 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$39.51Jul 6, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$66.46Jul 5, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$181.41Jul 4, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$104.18Jul 3, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$100.03Jul 2, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$90.54Jul 1, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$195.64Jun 30, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$105.01Jun 29, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$110.46Jun 28, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$122.81Jun 27, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$57.48Jun 26, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$25.68Jun 24, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$39.74Jun 23, 14:57 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$142.55Jun 20, 00:37 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$49.36Jun 19, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$143.75Jun 18, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$74.09Jun 17, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$135.80Jun 16, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$319.94Jun 15, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
45/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
62% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 00:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 00:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.