Moral-Equation
0xacaf089e6d797537da04d47726fdfa805830c838
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$20.81
Total PnL
$-2.55
Realised
$-0.36
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition
10 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.31
$0.31
- NO
Will Microsoft have the top AI model on December 31?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$8.00
$0.01
- NO
U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Mario Rivera Callejas win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft have the top AI model on December 31?$159.84Dec 18, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI accuse Microsoft of violating antitrust before August?$1.18Dec 18, 01:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?$1.47Dec 18, 01:45 UTC
- REDEEMOpenAI announces development of glasses/headset before August?$2.11Dec 18, 01:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft have the top AI model on December 31?$363.40Dec 15, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft have the top AI model on December 31?$531.60Dec 15, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition$10.00Dec 15, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mario Rivera Callejas win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$3.00Dec 12, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI announces development of glasses/headset before August?$2.00Jun 21, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI accuse Microsoft of violating antitrust before August?$1.00Jun 21, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?$1.00Jun 21, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel annex Gazan territory before July?$2.14Jun 21, 03:08 UTC
- TRADESELLSam Altman arrested before July?$1.03Jun 21, 03:08 UTC
- REDEEMEgypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?$1.05Jun 21, 03:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill De’Aaron Fox lead the NBA in scoring?$1.05Jun 21, 03:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.08Jun 21, 03:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill an open-source AI model become Top 3 this year?$2.82Jun 21, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSam Altman arrested before July?$1.00Mar 15, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?$2.00Mar 15, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an open-source AI model become Top 3 this year?$2.00Mar 15, 07:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $30.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 00:59 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 18, 01:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.