0xacb13a34b452c514f9bfd0e1019f6bce1864ce4a
0xacb13a34b452c514f9bfd0e1019f6bce1864ce4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.14
Total PnL
$-65.68
Realised
$-0.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-07-28?
3 shares @ 56.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$1.14
$-0.66
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
1100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
110 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- FRANCE
France vs. England: Team to Win
103 shares @ 32.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-33.45
- ARGENTINA
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)
72 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
46 shares @ 41.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10AM ET
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?
12 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.06
- YES
Lionel Messi: 2+ goals
11 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-07-28?$1.84Jul 28, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$1.18Jul 28, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$1.18Jul 28, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Argentina (-2.5)$1.21Jul 19, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.56Jul 19, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.64Jul 19, 13:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$5.99Jul 18, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.91Jul 18, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$28.18Jul 18, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?$3.17Jul 17, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10AM ET$5.22Jul 17, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13.38Jul 17, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$43.01Jul 15, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 2+ goals$1.15Jul 15, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$20.53Jul 15, 04:30 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$20.49Jul 14, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$3.08Jul 14, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$6.17Jul 14, 18:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $7.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 18:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 11:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.