Venerated-Puggle
0xacb21f52998b0965251047de146c04e1a618fb9d
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
108
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$-51.85
Win rate
3%
74 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 108- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 2?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?
567 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
476 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
339 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- OVER
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
333 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?
317 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?
300 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will France vs. England end in a draw?
298 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?
294 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- MINNESOTA TWINS
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)
294 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYJoshua Báez: Home Runs O/U 0.5$20.83Aug 16, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) AND UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)$98.06Aug 16, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) AND UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)$50.00Aug 16, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)$103.30Aug 13, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees$53.27Aug 13, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLSeattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees$89.51Aug 13, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLSeattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees$43.50Aug 13, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees$102.15Aug 12, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)$51.52Aug 12, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays AND Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels AND Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers AND Tampa Bay Rays vs. Athletics AND Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals AND Houston Astros vs. San Francisco Giants$15.00Aug 12, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays AND Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers AND Tampa Bay Rays vs. Athletics$25.00Aug 12, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLSeattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees$345.19Aug 12, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees$214.30Aug 11, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-08-11?$20.82Aug 11, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qairat FK win on 2026-08-11?$10.44Aug 11, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) AND Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 AND Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres$30.00Aug 10, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYAthletics vs. Boston Red Sox$20.88Aug 8, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLAtlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees$28.54Aug 8, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees$30.81Aug 7, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers AND Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants AND Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies$25.00Aug 7, 20:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 74 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
74 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $67.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 22:13 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 19:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 74 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.