Subdued-Mrna
0xacbff1979f8df842ce8257247b2a3b153a6cbe73
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$273.87
Total PnL
$-454.76
Realised
$-32.26
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
213 shares @ 45.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$99.20
$3.20
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
211 shares @ 38.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$95.79
$15.79
- YES
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?
196 shares @ 28.1¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$41.06
$-13.94
- YES
Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
673 shares @ 4.2¢·now 4.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.94
$-0.34
- NO
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
2 shares @ 56.1¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.56
$0.55
- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 96.1¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$29.36May 8, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$40.00May 8, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba military clash in 2026?$46.00May 8, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?$46.24May 8, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?$20.65May 8, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?$10.32May 8, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba military clash in 2026?$50.00May 8, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$40.00May 8, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$11.75May 8, 15:24 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?$230.59May 4, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$1.50Mar 7, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iraq by March 31$4.71Mar 7, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Mexico by December 31?$33.18Mar 7, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$28.00Mar 7, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?$20.00Mar 7, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$40.41Mar 7, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$68.00Mar 3, 01:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Israel in March?$0.00Mar 3, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMHezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?$0.00Mar 3, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?$40.00Mar 3, 01:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $25.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 17:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 15:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".