All-Camp
0xaccadeae092465f2e37eb917e67922e3a0138996
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-401.56
Realised
$-24.87
Win rate
22%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 14?
753 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.55
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on May 15?
678 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-78.42
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 14?
645 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-18.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on May 14?
581 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-13.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 15?
468 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-13.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 14?
241 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 6?
146 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-13.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 16?
132 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on May 19?
109 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 18?
98 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.81
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be 84°F or higher on July 29?$6.09Jul 28, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 84°F or higher on July 29?$8.11Jul 28, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be 84°F or higher on July 29?$3.94Jul 28, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 84°F or higher on July 29?$5.78Jul 28, 13:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 18?$4.35Jul 17, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 18?$4.56Jul 17, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 16?$0.66Jul 16, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 16?$6.16Jul 16, 01:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 16?$10.88Jul 15, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 15?$4.02Jul 15, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 15?$6.28Jul 15, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 15?$5.92Jul 15, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on July 15?$19.41Jul 15, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on July 15?$5.58Jul 15, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 15?$7.08Jul 15, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 15?$0.86Jul 15, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 15?$4.69Jul 15, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 15?$8.83Jul 15, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 15?$1.17Jul 15, 06:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 16?$0.44Jul 15, 06:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
22% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $6.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 03:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 14:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.