Chubby-Stirfry
0xaccf0b4cb4f398abb57fccab06c6e0b2655c279e
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$171.18
Total PnL
$-30.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
130 shares @ 43.6¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$60.42
$3.76
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1111 shares @ 4.5¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$55.00
$5.00
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
253 shares @ 7.9¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
27 shares @ 74.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.78
$-4.35
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
340 shares @ 12.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.21
$-30.64
- YES
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
53 shares @ 20.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.89
$-0.80
- NO
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
101 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$21.35Jun 14, 07:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$53.43Jun 12, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?$20.55Jun 10, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$21.21Jun 10, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?$20.34Jun 10, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?$20.14Jun 10, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$40.71Jun 10, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?$42.29Jun 8, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$2.01Jun 1, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$15.00Jun 1, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$20.10May 31, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$11.03May 31, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$4.30May 30, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$4.80May 30, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$3.27May 23, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$10.00May 21, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$5.40May 11, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$0.00May 9, 07:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $16.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 17:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 07:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.