Genuine-Playground
0xace26d781221474f102ccbfbff91d73409831dba
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$2.83
Total PnL
$-1.27
Realised
$-0.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
2 shares @ 19.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$1.58
$1.28
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
1 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$1.25
$0.75
- YES
Will Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Liberal Democrats wins the most seats in next UK election?
125 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2025$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
75 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2024$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Katrín Jakobsdóttir win the Iceland Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2024$0.00
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Katrín Jakobsdóttir win the Iceland Presidential Election?$0.50May 30, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.50May 30, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ingrida Simonyte win the 2024 Lithuanian presidential election?$0.00May 30, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marsha Blackburn win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$0.30May 28, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$0.50May 28, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104$0.30May 28, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiberal Democrats wins the most seats in next UK election? $0.50May 25, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$0.50May 25, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$2.00May 25, 02:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ecolo win the most seats in the Belgian federal elections?$0.25May 25, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecolo win the most seats in the Belgian federal elections?$0.50May 25, 02:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Pence win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$1.50May 25, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Pence win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$3.00May 25, 02:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AOC win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.50May 25, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AOC win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5.00May 25, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ingrida Simonyte win the 2024 Lithuanian presidential election?$0.50May 25, 02:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $1.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 02:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 09:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".