Sandy-Refuge
0xaced454d1cd062dd69b0cf76a7935e0703d6e11f
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$17.50
Total PnL
$-0.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.16May 28, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.72May 27, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$18.40May 26, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden finish his term?$1.28May 25, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?$11.58May 25, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin all time high by January 31?$25.58May 25, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by January 31?$11.00Jan 2, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?$11.00Jan 2, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMTexans vs. Jets$0.00Jan 2, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMTrump sentenced to no prison time?$1.32Jan 2, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.56Jan 2, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$2.33Jan 2, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexans vs. Jets$21.60Oct 29, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala say "convicted felon" at debate?$0.00Oct 29, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the debate have 75 million or more viewers?$0.00Oct 29, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Debate finish by 10:30 PM?$0.00Oct 29, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMTrump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?$0.00Oct 29, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Pittsburgh Pirates win the World Series?$0.00Oct 29, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMMicrophones muted during ABC debate?$5.08Oct 29, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMWho is asked the first debate question?$6.10Oct 29, 19:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $5.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.