Spherical-Bond
0xacf7d4b2880c76e4392ef1ec3dcc4fe0b2844641
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$18.83
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$-4.77
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
26 shares @ 77.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.83
$-1.17
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
1268 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-112.12
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
377 shares @ 36.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-138.16
- YES
Will Iceland win on 2025-10-10?
333 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?
299 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
298 shares @ 66.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-197.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
287 shares @ 77.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-221.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
246 shares @ 38.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-95.59
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
202 shares @ 48.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-98.61
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
201 shares @ 75.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-150.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$20.00May 23, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$22.67May 16, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?$113.64May 5, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?$100.86May 5, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$212.85May 5, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$102.59Apr 29, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$31.02Apr 29, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$9.59Apr 29, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$210.48Apr 29, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$7.60Apr 15, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$100.00Apr 15, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$40.00Apr 15, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$153.56Apr 11, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$18.30Apr 11, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$15.00Apr 11, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$100.00Apr 11, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$20.00Apr 11, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$100.00Apr 8, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$0.00Apr 8, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$108.07Apr 8, 15:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $85.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 05:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 17:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".