Determined-Refuge
0xacfe5bbc96fb4976ecc4693997c063c332bfc247
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$88.48
Total PnL
$-9.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will "Woman" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$11.17
$1.18
- YES
Will "Right" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?
12 shares @ 82.6¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$10.93
$1.42
- YES
Will "Understand" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?
12 shares @ 82.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$10.65
$1.14
- YES
Will "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
12 shares @ 82.1¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$10.35
$0.47
- YES
Will "Water" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?
13 shares @ 77.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$9.80
$-0.19
- YES
Will "People" be said 100+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?
13 shares @ 79.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$9.74
$-0.25
- YES
Will "Power" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?
12 shares @ 82.6¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$9.15
$-0.36
- YES
Will "Music" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?
12 shares @ 82.6¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$7.83
$-1.68
- YES
Will "Alien" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?
23 shares @ 43.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$6.04
$-3.95
- YES
Will Trump post "Ted" or "Cruz" on Truth Social this week?
11 shares @ 87.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$2.81
$-7.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Ted" or "Cruz" on Truth Social this week?$10.00Jun 13, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill "AI" be said 50+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$12.65Jun 13, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "AI" be said 50+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$9.99Jun 13, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Woman" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?$10.00Jun 12, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Water" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?$9.99Jun 12, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Alien" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?$10.00Jun 11, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "People" be said 100+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?$9.99Jun 11, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Right" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?$9.58Jun 11, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Understand" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?$9.58Jun 11, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Music" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?$9.58Jun 11, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Power" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15?$9.58Jun 11, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$0.25Jun 11, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$5.37Jun 11, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$4.29Jun 11, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" be said 15+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?$0.00Jun 10, 22:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Government" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 8?$0.00Jun 10, 22:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Alien" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 8?$0.00Jun 10, 22:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Trump" be said 10+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 8?$0.00Jun 10, 22:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill "People" be said 200+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 8?$0.00Jun 10, 22:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Dude" be said 20+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 8?$0.00Jun 10, 22:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $6.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 19:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.