Jagged-Year
0xad03da07487c4a8f3d2522e02eaff277314e6ed5
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$248.39
Total PnL
$-158.33
Realised
$-0.58
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 12°C on April 24?
126 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$126.12
$0.13
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C or below on April 21?
121 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$121.11
$0.12
- NO
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.16
$-0.00
- HEAT
Heat vs. 76ers
117 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-54.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 15°C or below on March 13?
77 shares @ 99.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-77.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 9?
26 shares @ 99.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- NO
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 12°C on April 24?$126.00Apr 22, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C or below on April 21?$121.00Apr 19, 23:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Apr 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$808.66Apr 14, 17:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Apr 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Apr 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$809.48Apr 11, 21:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Apr 11, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$802.16Apr 10, 15:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Apr 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Apr 9, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$802.97Apr 8, 14:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Apr 8, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$668.88Apr 7, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$669.56Apr 7, 09:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Apr 3, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$570.65Apr 2, 19:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Apr 2, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$572.39Apr 1, 06:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $386.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 07:15 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 09:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.