Elegant-Nephew
0xad0481b961f7d0955e1a7163b5ae74e8bbc2dce5
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$186.28
Total PnL
$24.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Montenegro win on 2026-03-31?$0.00Jun 18, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$0.00Jun 18, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Arc de Trump" or "Arch de Trump" or "Trump Arch" in April?$34.00Jun 18, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Drone" this week? (February 22)$0.00Jun 18, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 10 be between 1,900,000 and 2,000,000?$0.00Jun 18, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Jun 18, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Inter Kashi FC win on 2026-03-06?$0.00Jun 18, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill In Your Dreams be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Jun 18, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$552.00Jun 18, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?$847.00Jun 18, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$990.00Jun 18, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 23?$0.00Jun 18, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's latest video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 4?$1.3KJun 18, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Arc de Trump" or "Arch de Trump" or "Trump Arch" in April?$351.54Apr 27, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Arc de Trump" or "Arch de Trump" or "Trump Arch" in April?$353.98Apr 23, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$340.17Apr 12, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka$84.33Apr 7, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka$7.17Apr 7, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$1.2KApr 7, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's latest video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 4?$0.16Apr 7, 15:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $284.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 02:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 03:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.