Black-Tummy
0xad070e3f911c2351cccd4982896a7834bcce95c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-449.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?
251 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-163.28
- NO
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase February 24-March 2?
154 shares @ 28.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-43.80
- NO
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?
112 shares @ 44.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.05
- NO
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
110 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.41
- YES
Will GPT-5 be released on August 11?
107 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?
63 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-56.49
- NO
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
44 shares @ 72.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-31.82
- NO
Will Trump say "Armenia" or "Azerbaijan" 12+ times during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?$56.49Mar 6, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Epstein Files" reach #1 on Apple Podcast by March 15?$56.50Mar 6, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Epstein Files" reach #1 on Apple Podcast by March 15?$52.26Mar 2, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase February 24-March 2?$43.80Mar 1, 13:33 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.05Mar 1, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$48.76Feb 28, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$100.41Feb 13, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$100.42Feb 13, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$36.14Feb 10, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?$36.13Feb 10, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?$25.60Feb 8, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?$31.82Nov 5, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$31.82Nov 5, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?$163.28Nov 3, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$50.00Nov 1, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$213.28Nov 1, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$198.35Oct 26, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?$198.35Oct 26, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Yemen by August 31?$30.05Aug 22, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?$155.00Aug 22, 13:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $40.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 12:47 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 6, 16:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".