Old-Fashioned-Blackbird
0xad08aa8145a345c9844a9d82c0674f7ba4901e64
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$21.27
Total PnL
$-62.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
386 shares @ 2.6¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.47
$4.47
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
295 shares @ 3.4¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.04
$-3.96
- YES
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?
510 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.76
$-9.23
- YES
Will January 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
1307 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-14.66
- YES
Will January 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
1044 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Trump out as President by March 31?
54 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.56
- NO
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?
45 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.86
- YES
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?
30 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-8.70
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
22 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.90
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 22, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 21, 00:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 20, 00:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 19, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 18, 00:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 17, 00:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 16, 01:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 15, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 14, 00:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 13, 01:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 12, 00:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 11, 00:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 10, 00:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 9, 00:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 8, 00:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 7, 00:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 6, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 5, 00:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 4, 00:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $7.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 17:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.