Jaded-Elongation
0xad0e0da5c2a0a35af061690320aa08d46b57e763
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-54.56
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
6664 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-773.11
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 3?
448 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
319 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-26.02
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 22)
309 shares @ 30.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-94.65
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
245 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
209 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-6.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
120 shares @ 29.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-35.64
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
117 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-34.03
- YES
Will Trump say "Khamenei" this week? (March 22)
108 shares @ 46.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 22)$3.67Mar 18, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$0.00Mar 18, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$0.00Mar 18, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Dimona by March 31?$3.68Mar 18, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 22)$30.98Mar 17, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Khamenei" this week? (March 22)$50.00Mar 17, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 22)$60.00Mar 17, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$79.48Mar 17, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$61.50Mar 17, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$90.84Mar 14, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$93.58Mar 13, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$10.26Mar 13, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$5.00Mar 13, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$88.32Mar 13, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 1?$0.00Mar 13, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)$0.00Mar 13, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Peanut" this week? (March 8)$0.00Mar 13, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Save Act" or "Save America Act" this week? (March 8)$0.00Mar 13, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 8)$0.00Mar 13, 00:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" or "MAGA" this week? (March 8)$0.00Mar 13, 00:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $68.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 00:54 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 16:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.