0xad19340c081d4234ab9420d9f5a1fd32d67f27f2
0xad19340c081d4234ab9420d9f5a1fd32d67f27f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$14.89
Total PnL
$2.84
Realised
$0.96
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$5.88
$3.88
- YES
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.55
$2.55
- YES
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1 shares @ 66.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1 shares @ 92.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.66
$-0.34
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.12
$-0.88
- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.07
$-0.94
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 14, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 14, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.00Jan 14, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Jan 14, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?$1.00Jan 14, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.00Jan 14, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 14, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.92Jan 14, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$3.03Jan 14, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? $2.00Jan 12, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$3.94Jan 12, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?$2.00Jan 12, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$2.00Jan 12, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$2.00Jan 12, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$2.86Jan 12, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$1.90Jan 12, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$2.00Jan 12, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$2.00Jan 12, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$2.00Jan 12, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.77Jan 12, 19:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 19:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 14, 03:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.