Familiar-Occurrence
0xad1cf108d4c50d8fa58ecb767983cf774ee0e178
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-479.42
Realised
$-0.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US forces enter Iran by February 28?
1641 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-143.07
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
1284 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?
134 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-7.65
- NO
Will Taylor Swift endorse Kamala Harris?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
US inflation >0.1% from July to August 2024?
61 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
59 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?
44 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-4.48
- NO
Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally?
17 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2024$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by February 28?$143.07Feb 21, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$250.00Feb 21, 10:08 UTC
- REDEEMRFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?$9.51Feb 21, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $60,000 on August 23?$37.54Feb 21, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill CeeDee Lamb be traded?$0.00Sep 11, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?$5.23Aug 23, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally?$4.00Aug 23, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. say "Third Party" during Friday address?$0.10Aug 23, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMObama DNC Speech: O/U 30 minutes?$0.00Aug 23, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris say "Inflation" 3 or more times during DNC speech?$0.00Aug 23, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Obama say "Hope" at DNC speech?$9.33Aug 23, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Obama say "Hope" at DNC speech?$8.21Aug 21, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift endorse Kamala Harris?$10.00Aug 21, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYObama DNC Speech: O/U 30 minutes?$10.00Aug 21, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris say "Inflation" 3 or more times during DNC speech?$10.00Aug 21, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris say "Inflation" 3 or more times during DNC speech?$10.00Aug 21, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden say "Pelosi" at DNC speech?$0.00Aug 20, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden say "Project 2025" at DNC speech?$0.00Aug 20, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden say "Folks" three or more times at DNC speech?$0.00Aug 20, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden say "Folks" three or more times at DNC speech?$0.21Aug 20, 22:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $27.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 14, 08:40 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 21, 10:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".