Red-Retailer
0xad1f4869d740b3ba6e4457e187e311051e7f5164
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$5.99
Total PnL
$-18.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
55 shares @ 11.3¢·now 8.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.92
$-1.29
- NO
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
4146 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
4092 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
2152 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
2149 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
2147 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
2146 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
2143 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
2142 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.21Mar 19, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by February 28, 2026?$6.26Mar 19, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by February 28, 2026?$6.05Feb 5, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$1.00Feb 5, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?$3.05Feb 5, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?$1.00Jan 8, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?$1.00Dec 13, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$1.00Dec 5, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$4.2KNov 28, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$0.00Nov 28, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$0.00Nov 28, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$0.00Nov 28, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$25.50Nov 28, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$2.0KNov 28, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$212.00Nov 28, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$1.9KNov 28, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$4.4KNov 28, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$1.0KNov 28, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$14.99Nov 28, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$2.2KNov 28, 01:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $653.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 27, 11:17 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 19, 02:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".