That-Satisfaction
0xad25ed15196b4f52fb05b196199021fe3b8d6732
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-535.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
ETH above $2,000 at end of August?
3109 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2023$0.00
$-209.17
- NO
Will Binance list $PEPE by Friday?
2000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2023$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will the Turkish Central Bank raise interest rates at its June meeting?
1693 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2023$0.00
$-78.16
- YES
MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?
788 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its September meeting?
354 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2023$0.00
$-46.40
- YES
Will FTX relaunch by June 30?
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2023$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Was Caitlyn Jenner hacked?
132 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2024$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30?
92 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2023$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Biden finish his term?
75 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-33.00
- YES
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?
75 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2023$0.00
$-5.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? $70.00Dec 10, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? $30.00Dec 10, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$33.00Jul 22, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWas Caitlyn Jenner hacked?$7.00May 27, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYETH above $2,000 at end of August?$11.09Aug 29, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYETH above $2,000 at end of August?$27.00Aug 29, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYETH above $2,000 at end of August?$11.09Aug 29, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its September meeting?$17.88Aug 11, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its September meeting?$0.03Aug 11, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its September meeting?$0.85Aug 11, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its September meeting?$4.50Aug 11, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its September meeting?$3.75Aug 11, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its September meeting?$13.40Aug 11, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its September meeting?$6.50Aug 11, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its September meeting?$6.00Aug 11, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYETH above $2,000 at end of August?$160.00Aug 9, 09:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $25.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 9, 09:15 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 10, 12:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.