Relieved-Organising
0xad26048c395f6b59856550d883142f74419a589c
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$3.2K
Total PnL
$-14.5K
Realised
$10.3K
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11850 shares @ 16.9¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.0K
$-17.77
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11850 shares @ 10.8¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.3K
$-29.63
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
64472 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.4K
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
15000 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.0K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?
7500 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-599.99
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?
7432 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-885.59
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23?
5000 shares @ 24.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?
3755 shares @ 31.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?
3500 shares @ 33.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6?
2973 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-437.83
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.29Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$21.04Jun 12, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$70.78Jun 11, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$88.79Jun 11, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$115.10Jun 11, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$127.11Jun 11, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$144.32Jun 11, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.44Jun 11, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$53.33Jun 11, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$53.74Jun 11, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$44.25Jun 11, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$58.74Jun 11, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$72.37Jun 11, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.99Jun 11, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$46.21Jun 11, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$60.55Jun 11, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.99Jun 11, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$76.64Jun 11, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.01Jun 11, 14:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $50.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 13:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.