Ideal-Toga
0xad265725062d5dfcbc6067ae8d8be225c2e4bf29
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$341.49
Total PnL
$-79.60
Realised
$-3.28
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
62 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$61.78
$1.02
- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
35 shares @ 77.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$34.67
$7.87
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
34 shares @ 82.7¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$27.66
$-0.08
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
28 shares @ 69.0¢·now 88.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$25.00
$5.48
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
29 shares @ 83.4¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.32
$-0.85
- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
20 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$20.14
$1.20
- NO
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
16 shares @ 90.5¢·now 99.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$15.81
$1.46
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
16 shares @ 92.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$15.74
$1.13
- YES
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
33 shares @ 38.0¢·now 38.9¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$12.82
$0.28
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
16 shares @ 97.3¢·now 80.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$12.55
$-2.67
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$21.14Jun 13, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$6.53Jun 13, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?$2.75Jun 13, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$5.27Jun 13, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$6.97Jun 13, 06:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$1.00Jun 12, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$1.58Jun 12, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$1.27Jun 12, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$1.93Jun 12, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$2.33Jun 12, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$1.97Jun 12, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$4.72Jun 12, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$1.49Jun 12, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$1.00Jun 12, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$1.53Jun 12, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$1.00Jun 12, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$4.08Jun 12, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$6.09Jun 12, 16:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $4.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 03:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.