Ample-Balalaika
0xad27ccf5b9cfd51c0207bce32c1d166929580c61
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$2.37
Total PnL
$-2.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$1.19
$0.19
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$1.18
$0.18
- YES
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025 President’s Trophy?
1600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 680-719 tweets in October 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$1.00Dec 2, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$1.00Dec 2, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$1.03Dec 2, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: November$1.04Dec 2, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: November$1.00Nov 28, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$1.00Nov 28, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.06Nov 28, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 680-719 tweets in October 2025?$1.00Oct 15, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 15, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMLiverpool wins the Premier League?$1.71Oct 15, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$1.60Mar 3, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX Starship 7th launch by Jan 10?$0.00Feb 28, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wolves win on 2025-01-06?$0.00Feb 28, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kirk Cousins win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$0.00Feb 28, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMDemocrats win popular vote by 4-5%?$0.00Jan 7, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wolves win on 2025-01-06?$1.50Jan 7, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kirk Cousins win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$2.50Jan 7, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX Starship 7th launch by Jan 10?$1.00Jan 7, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiverpool wins the Premier League?$1.00Dec 4, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 4-5%?$2.00Dec 4, 06:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $1.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 06:35 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 2, 13:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".