Peppery-Deduction
0xad2f9746ed8de8a8581efb152206103965d0befe
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 6AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 25–August 1?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times July 25–August 1?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 25–August 1?
141 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 25–August 1?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times July 25–August 1?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 25–August 1?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 25–August 1?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $115K on August 4?$40.49Aug 4, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $115K on August 4?$31.21Aug 4, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?$31.03Aug 1, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?$9.00Jul 31, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$1.00Jul 28, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 6AM ET$1.00Jul 28, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6AM ET$1.00Jul 28, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 255 or more times July 25–August 1?$1.00Jul 28, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 240–254 times July 25–August 1?$1.00Jul 28, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 225–239 times July 25–August 1?$1.00Jul 28, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 120–134 times July 25–August 1?$1.00Jul 28, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 105–119 times July 25–August 1?$1.00Jul 28, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 105–119 times July 25–August 1?$1.00Jul 28, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 90–104 times July 25–August 1?$1.00Jul 28, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 90 times July 25–August 1?$1.00Jul 28, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5 be released by July 31?$20.17Jul 28, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released by July 31?$20.18Jul 28, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?$20.19Jul 28, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?$44.60Jul 28, 07:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $10.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 07:09 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 16:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".