Agonizing-Corporation
0xad365575a68b82f47963ebf1c1d05d42b3e76fd9
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$9.98
Total PnL
$-167.09
Realised
$-4.93
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
53 shares @ 13.3¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.23
$2.23
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
32 shares @ 22.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.75
$-6.25
- YES
Will Lee Jae-myung win 35-40% of the vote in the South Korea election?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?
558 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election?
231 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-12.53
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
223 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
150 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-47.98
- UP
XRP Up or Down on December 11?
133 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
125 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$39.93Dec 12, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 15?$20.00Dec 12, 11:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 13?$59.93Dec 12, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$37.40Dec 11, 23:54 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$37.40Dec 11, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 13?$29.46Dec 11, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on December 11?$12.00Dec 11, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$41.46Dec 11, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$36.15Dec 11, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $32.99Dec 11, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?$5.22Dec 11, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down on December 11?$3.16Dec 11, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$8.05Dec 11, 03:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on December 11?$5.22Dec 11, 03:10 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down on December 11?$8.05Dec 11, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$41.45Dec 11, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on December 11?$20.00Dec 11, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on December 11?$20.00Dec 11, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on December 11?$20.00Dec 11, 01:40 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down on December 11?$101.44Dec 11, 01:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $27.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 09:08 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 12, 11:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.