Capital-Leisure
0xad3869fdc77966682d9968f0a4b67642aff73b7f
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$31.91
Total PnL
$-4.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
16 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$16.35
$0.05
- NO
Will Frax win the USDH ticker?
16 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$15.56
$0.02
- NO
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?
5 shares @ 93.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$16.30Sep 10, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frax win the USDH ticker?$15.55Sep 10, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$5.01Sep 10, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Agnieszka Dziemianowicz-Bąk be the next President of Poland?$6.61Sep 10, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$12.07Sep 10, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$12.00May 29, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$5.00May 29, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?$0.00May 29, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Miami Heat win the Eastern Conference?$2.41May 29, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?$3.43May 29, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$3.55May 29, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill BSW be part of the next German government?$5.03May 29, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$5.24May 29, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Carney lose his seat?$5.30May 29, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$8.88May 29, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AFD be part of the next German government?$8.90May 29, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?$11.01May 29, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney lose his seat?$5.00Apr 22, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$5.00Apr 22, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$8.80Apr 22, 02:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 15:35 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 10, 14:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.