Intent-Leaker
0xad3df08ac1c18717b05f5b4461edbccf28737a40
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-29.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will another driver win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?
275 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2024$0.00
$-15.49
- YES
Will Nevada be the tipping point state?
150 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-4.95
- YES
Will there be another tipping point state?
66 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.23
- YES
Will there be 170,000,000-175,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Florida be the tipping point state?
31 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.46
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win North Carolina by 3%-4.0%?
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.0%-2.5%?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Arizona by 3.0%-4.0%?
27 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Georgia by 4.0% or more?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Elon Musk arrested in 2024?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill another driver win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?$15.49Nov 22, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver call less than 43 states correctly?$0.00Nov 22, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEM2024 October hottest on record?$0.00Nov 22, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWho will win men?$0.00Nov 22, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Vermont Governor Election?$0.00Nov 22, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Alaska Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 22, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Texas US Senate Election?$0.00Nov 22, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEM2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House$0.00Nov 22, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEM2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R House$0.00Nov 22, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMMatt Gaetz out as Congressman in 2024?$0.00Nov 22, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMKamala Harris wins a solid red state?$0.00Nov 22, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump do better with men than in 2020 election?$0.00Nov 22, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump do better with Latinos than in 2020?$0.00Nov 22, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMKamala Harris blowout victory?$0.00Nov 22, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMMatt Gaetz out as Congressman in 2024?$14.29Nov 22, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AP call the election by November 5?$0.00Nov 7, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 7, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Florida US Senate Election?$0.00Nov 7, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Idaho Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 7, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMFL-13 election: Fox (D) vs. Luna (R)$0.00Nov 7, 12:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $15.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 12:25 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 22, 11:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".