Honorable-Hardhat
0xad4365eed172435ec26fdb12eb35f4d261295635
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-123.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during Iowa speech?
907 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-35.18
- YES
Will Trump shake hands with Emmanuel Macron at the World Economic Forum?
239 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 19-25?
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 24?
136 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-20.64
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 26?
102 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-49.89
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 24?
52 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- YES
Will Trump shake hands with Friedrich Merz at the World Economic Forum?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Midterm Election" during Iowa speech?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on January 24?
17 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$0.00Jun 12, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$21.10Jun 11, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during Iowa speech?$10.35Jan 27, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during Iowa speech?$8.96Jan 27, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during Iowa speech?$5.08Jan 27, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Greenland" during Iowa speech?$5.09Jan 27, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Greenland" during Iowa speech?$5.32Jan 27, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during Iowa speech?$4.00Jan 27, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Greenland" during Iowa speech?$9.32Jan 27, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during Iowa speech?$2.07Jan 27, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during Iowa speech?$4.72Jan 27, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$2.06Jan 27, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Davos" or "World Economic Forum" during Iowa speech?$4.73Jan 27, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$2.27Jan 27, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Greenland" during Iowa speech?$10.00Jan 27, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Davos" or "World Economic Forum" during Iowa speech?$5.00Jan 27, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Midterm Election" during Iowa speech?$5.00Jan 27, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$20.04Jan 27, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$20.30Jan 27, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 26?$14.63Jan 26, 14:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $7.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 12:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 10:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.