Dutiful-Scallion
0xad49e3da63bde1e177fdab995e40f31b52b283fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-0.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?
15 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
15 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- NO
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
14 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Golden State Warriors?
13 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
11 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?
11 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Penny Mordaunt be next UK prime minister?
5 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will James Cleverly be next UK prime minister?
5 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Boris Johnson be next UK prime minister?
5 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Tom Tugendhat be next UK prime minister?
5 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?$0.01Feb 5, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?$0.01Feb 5, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Golden State Warriors?$0.01Feb 5, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$0.01Dec 7, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$0.01Dec 7, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$0.01Dec 7, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Steelers win the AFC Championship?$0.01Oct 31, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ravens win the AFC Championship?$0.01Oct 31, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$0.01Oct 31, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?$0.01Oct 31, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Patrick Mahomes win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$0.01Oct 31, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$0.01Oct 31, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House$0.01Oct 31, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House$0.01Oct 31, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104$0.01Oct 31, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64$0.01Oct 31, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?$0.01Oct 31, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?$0.01Oct 31, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUY[Single Market] Will Dean Phillips win the U.S. Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01Jun 10, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUY[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01Jun 10, 12:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $0.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 13:29 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 5, 18:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".