0xad4de93b538da3e0c269863c4fecce4f311eeb1e
0xad4de93b538da3e0c269863c4fecce4f311eeb1e
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$79.18
Total PnL
$-57.73
Realised
$-61.60
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
BitBoy convicted?
51 shares @ 25.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$51.18
$38.02
- NO
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?
28 shares @ 93.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$28.00
$1.79
- YES
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?
225 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-13.41
- YES
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?
192 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.90
- YES
Rojas guilty in Texas illegal abortion case?
119 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.57
- YES
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?$1.19Feb 7, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?$11.84Feb 7, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYRojas guilty in Texas illegal abortion case?$3.44Feb 7, 03:22 UTC
- TRADESELLRojas guilty in Texas illegal abortion case?$9.00Feb 7, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYRojas guilty in Texas illegal abortion case?$12.00Feb 7, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLRojas guilty in Texas illegal abortion case?$9.00Feb 7, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYRojas guilty in Texas illegal abortion case?$12.00Feb 7, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLRojas guilty in Texas illegal abortion case?$9.00Feb 7, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYRojas guilty in Texas illegal abortion case?$12.00Feb 7, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLRojas guilty in Texas illegal abortion case?$9.00Feb 7, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYRojas guilty in Texas illegal abortion case?$12.00Feb 7, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLRojas guilty in Texas illegal abortion case?$4.13Feb 7, 02:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?$0.47Feb 7, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYRojas guilty in Texas illegal abortion case?$0.11Feb 7, 01:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?$8.96Feb 7, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?$12.35Feb 7, 01:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?$8.78Feb 7, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?$11.97Feb 7, 01:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?$8.94Feb 7, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?$12.00Feb 7, 01:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 22:09 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 7, 05:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.