Costly-Sunbeam
0xad582e2628d7495200dd4f18fa4612e5caa73773
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
168
Open notional
$177.70
Total PnL
$-8.4K
Realised
$-1.57
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 168- YES
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
283 shares @ 63.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$176.79
$-1.41
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
1820 shares @ 58.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.91
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
3250 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Bangladesh win on 2025-11-13?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Afghanistan win on 2025-11-13?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Chile win on 2026-06-06?
979 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-62.00
- YES
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
707 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-382.00
- YES
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-24?
676 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-06-05?
588 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24?
556 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$180.18Jun 14, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$20.30Jun 13, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$20.83Jun 13, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$4.10Jun 13, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$1.1KJun 13, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$1.1KJun 13, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$1.02Jun 12, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$497.69Jun 12, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$387.27Jun 12, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$486.84Jun 12, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$188.44Jun 12, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$579.71Jun 11, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$403.72Jun 11, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw?$4.10Jun 10, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nigeria win on 2026-06-10?$5.69Jun 10, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nigeria win on 2026-06-10?$71.87Jun 10, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chile win on 2026-06-06?$2.06Jun 6, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chile win on 2026-06-06?$61.69Jun 6, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gibraltar win on 2026-06-06?$102.40Jun 6, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethiopia win on 2026-06-06?$45.53Jun 6, 17:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $189.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 19:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.