Vacant-Establishment
0xad58737a906d5cf0ee8c2840d0633046a674cada
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
84
Open notional
$3.28
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$182.51
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 84- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.28
$-1.72
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 8PM ET
1338 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-72.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
1107 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
473 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-54.81
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
419 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-34.92
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
285 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-9.65
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 7AM ET
158 shares @ 71.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-112.50
- YES
Netanyahu out by April 30?
145 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.35
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
139 shares @ 42.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-59.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$5.00Apr 4, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$15.00Apr 4, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?$15.00Apr 4, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by April 30?$4.35Mar 30, 09:44 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by March 31?$1.78Mar 30, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$5.00Mar 15, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$15.00Mar 14, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$10.00Mar 13, 19:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$10.32Mar 5, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$7.70Mar 3, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$7.70Mar 3, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$7.70Mar 3, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$9.00Mar 3, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$4.00Mar 3, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$0.73Mar 3, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$3.28Mar 3, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$4.00Mar 3, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$4.00Mar 3, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$4.00Mar 3, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$4.00Mar 3, 19:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $4.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 16:23 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 4, 19:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".