Private-Oven
0xad5a38a6549b4b1e35b8c4cfef1b5242088de224
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$154.31
Total PnL
$-32.28
Realised
$-13.06
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
49 shares @ 93.3¢·now 95.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$47.18
$1.14
- NO
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?
44 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$42.53
$0.90
- NO
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
38 shares @ 90.0¢·now 58.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.23
$-12.08
- YES
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
22 shares @ 68.5¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.17
$-0.65
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
20 shares @ 63.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.90
$-1.70
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$7.65
$-2.25
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?
10 shares @ 55.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp May 11, 2026$5.34
$-0.15
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
5 shares @ 89.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.28
$-0.17
- YES
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
63 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.03
$-3.28
- YES
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
4 shares @ 26.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?$1.225h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?$0.085h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?$2.335h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?$1.865h ago
- TRADESELLOver $20M committed to the Printr public sale?$3.565h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$12.601d ago
- TRADESELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$8.092d ago
- TRADESELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$12.602d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$9.902d ago
- REDEEMLoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner$0.002d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$5.002d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?$25.902d ago
- REDEEMWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?$11.982d ago
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?$5.002d ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$31.922d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$96.452d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$5.353d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?$30.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$2.703d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$6.083d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $6.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4d ago
- Last active
- 5h ago
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".