That-Cardigan
0xad5c4bcfa0a8fec05a83b3cc9834672788302283
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-370.36
Realised
$1.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 68–69°F on May 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump apologize to Elon before July?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35m views on day 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 16–23?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Marcel Ciolacu?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $104K on May 21 at 5 PM ET?
555 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2025$0.00
$-10.49
- NO
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEpstein client list released in 2025?$1.00Dec 22, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2025?$0.06Dec 22, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$1.00Nov 1, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$1.00Nov 1, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$1.00Nov 1, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 1?$1.00Nov 1, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on November 1?$1.00Nov 1, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan decreases interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 1, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on October 24?$0.00Nov 1, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk's net worth be between $450b and $460b on October 31?$0.00Nov 1, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk's net worth be between $470b and $480b on October 31?$0.00Nov 1, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?$1.00Nov 1, 06:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk's net worth be between $460b and $470b on October 31?$7.69Nov 1, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on October 24?$1.00Oct 24, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?$1.27Oct 23, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.96Oct 23, 12:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?$1.08Oct 23, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on October 8?$1.00Oct 8, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?$1.00Oct 8, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $124,000 and $126,000 on October 8?$1.00Oct 8, 10:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 3, 18:55 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 22, 16:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.