Enchanted-Switchboard
0xad6f05a57aeecc331588a14d7194d53d71843fea
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$33.18
Total PnL
$-6.05
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
17 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.65
$0.23
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?
12 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$12.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Solana reach $130 in June?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.00
$0.00
- NO
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 26?
2 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$1.51
$0.01
- YES
Solana above $130 on March 28?
6 shares @ 86.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$5.92Jun 28, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$6.51Jun 28, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?$12.00Jun 28, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$4.00Jun 28, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran successfully targets shipping on June 26?$1.50Jun 28, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?$1.31Jun 28, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $130 in June?$3.00Jun 28, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$2.01Jun 28, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$32.13Jun 28, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$2.00Mar 26, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$32.00Mar 26, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$0.00Mar 26, 03:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$39.37Mar 26, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$39.29Feb 18, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?$11.84Feb 18, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$27.44Feb 18, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?$11.82Jan 21, 02:22 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.23Jan 21, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$3.26Jan 21, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?$7.33Jan 21, 02:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $10.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 13:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 06:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.