Experienced-Cable
0xad6f9e80677c6b0438403a7ef002ebfc14604340
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$1.95
Total PnL
$-93.98
Realised
$52.74
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.79
$0.79
- YES
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
12 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.09
$-0.91
- YES
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.08
$-0.92
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 31?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 31?
1170 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 31?
1081 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?
830 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
756 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
315 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-7.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?$5.00Jan 31, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?$20.00Jan 31, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.4m?$1.11Jan 30, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 31?$0.00Jan 30, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$6.57Jan 29, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 31?$5.00Dec 30, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 31?$5.00Dec 30, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 31?$10.00Dec 30, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 31?$10.00Dec 30, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 31?$10.00Dec 30, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175–180 in 2025?$0.16Dec 30, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $185–190 in 2025?$26.31Dec 30, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $160–165 in 2025?$5.00Nov 28, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$10.00Nov 27, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?$1.00Nov 27, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Thank" or "Thanks" 20+ times at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?$5.00Nov 25, 23:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$0.80Nov 25, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $215–220 in 2025?$5.00Nov 25, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$2.00Nov 25, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $160–165 in 2025?$5.00Nov 25, 23:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $6.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 19, 15:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 19:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.